You are correct that we may never see the draft again. IMHO, I believe we should have the draft. Serve for 2-4 years, and if you want to make a career out of the military the choices are there. If you don't want to stay, then after the 2-4 years you get out with a trade you could use in the civilian world, or maybe go to college with the GI Bill. This will hopefully help our young generation to appreciate what they have and to love their country.
I dunno... I used to think compulsory service (whether in the military, or some other govt entity similar to how the Israelis do it) was a good idea.. at least we'd put young adults (who these days don't bother to start acting like adults or taking responsibility for anything until they are in their mid to late 20's it seems) in a position to mature, grow, learn a skill/trade, etc.. and better position themselves for their futures once their service is complete..
But the more I have thought about it.. I have come to the conclusion that despite its warts (and it had plenty), and some of the incredibly disappointing leadership that has emerged in the US military over the last decade or so.. that one of the primary things that makes our military the worlds most capable fighting force is the fact that it is a 100% volunteer organization..
Even with it being a 100% volunteer organization, there are TONS and TONS of problems with people trying to get out of deployments (anything from female soldiers intentionally trying to get pregnant right before they roll out, to guys just going awol, or simply refusing to go, etc).. and many of the societal problems we are seeing with millennials and Gen Z are just as present in the military as outside of it.. Can you imagine what it would be like conducting high risk training with a significant % of the people around you not actually wanting to be there or giving a damn about whats going on? And if that's bad.. how about being stuck on a FOB in a garden spot like Somalia or Syria where half of the people around you (or more) never wanted to be there, knowing you are about to leave the wire and run a combat patrol?
Even worse.. being on that combat patrol when shit goes down.. knowing the guys in the rear manning the artillery.. and the radios... and the QRF.. or maintaining the attack helicopters and other ground attack aircraft arent motivated to be there..
It would be easy enough to keep the non motivated folks out of the elite units where they would have to volunteer and pass additional training to enter..
But at the end of the day.. whether we're talking a conventional airborne unit, or a SOF unit, or a Marine infantry unit, etc (the guys outside the wire putting their nuts into the breeze routinely that you could refuse to admit draftees into and only accept volunteers).. They all rely on support elements to be able to execute their missions to one degree or another as well as rely on them to keep them safe (as safe as you can be in a combat situation)..