To me he is putting zelensky in an impossible situation.....saying he can end the war now....but giving up any territory is forbidden in the Ukrainian constitution....and why the hell should Ukraine have to give any up.....giving putin his win .....
The way how I see this:
Some territory is lost de facto. Not yet, de iure.
And there is no visible force to kick the Russians out, as of now. That is the fact.
That status can stay forever with "temporarily occupied territories" if they are not recognized.
On the other hand:
The long-term Ukrainian objective should be (and it actually is) to join the European Union.
A country CAN NOT join European Union if there is a territorial dispute.
Legally speaking, they are in a similar situation, as Serbia with Kosovo dispute. Not in EU so soon.
So, what is the long-term best interest for Ukraine?
Ukraine, territory-wise, has two options:
Keep stubborn, protest, complain, keep armed conflict, and stay out of EU.
Or, cut the losses, and move on, accept new borders, join EU.
Where is better? What is better? A country in the EU, or a country in the middle of nowhere (literally)
Now, as we can look at old media outlets with some distance, we can see the following.
- Invasion started 2022, with miscalculation on both sides. Russia expected a quick victory, and Ukraine expected endless Western support to kick the Russians out, which should be an easy win
- unprecedented military and financial aid followed.
- The Ukrainian summer offensive in 2023 failed in a fiasco
- Ukrainian offensive to Kursk, failed in FIasco
- F16's as last large material aid, so far has no significant impact, looks like more defensive roles in shooting down drones, a few f16 already lost
- Ukraine has no Navy (all gone).
- Tank brigades restructured to armored battalions, with other available armored vehicles. (Tanks gone?)
- Western material support and warehouses in EU are depleted after three years. (my country gave all its tanks T72 upgraded, to support Ukraine, and received nothing in return. This is a statement by our president. I can assume, similar situation elsewhere. With warehouses empty, Europe must first replenish, and then eventually give support, whereas the military support given so far was not sufficient. So how much more? Who will pay?
Which national parliament will vote to pay for the next brand new 100 tanks, 25 million each, to be sent to Ukraine? For rearmament of own country, yes, but a brand new 25 million dollar tank, to be sent to Ukraine with fresh paint? What about planes? Artillery? Patriots? Shells? Ammunitions? For a non-EU, and non-NATO Country? Hmmm... This is the dilemma?
If two major counteroffensives fully supported by the collective West that Ukraine could mount failed, what else can be mounted for future offensives? What else is needed? And of course, who will pay?