Politics

[Red Leg]

This is a pretty big deal. For the last few cycles Nate Silver and his 538 analysis was the golden boy for democrat polling. In '23 he was essentially dumped by Disney who would not meet his contract demands. His analysis is not only very accurate, but unlike typical aggradation polling is based on gaming theory. His model is proprietary and he is now providing updates and forecasts independently. Not surprisingly, they differ from the current analysis at 538.

Silver released this today. It will give the Harris camp vapors. Whatever else, the DNC bounce wasn't. Note the popular vote prediction is still in Harris's favor. Were Trump to win that it would quell some of the post election media driven discord.

 

[sestoppelman]

Do some research on him and you will understand why he is not one of my heroes. BUT, that is a wonderful thing to own.

I know a bit about him and what some thought of him, but he did have quite a distinguished and highly decorated career, controversies aside.

 

[Safari Dave]

Apparently the dad bought the AR for the boy, after the FBI interview and was in possession of it all this time.
I read that GA law has no minimum age for possession of a rifle, but there may be other things going on here, but either way, dad is being charged.

As a Georgia father, I'm in 100% agreement that the father should be charged to the maximum extent of the law.

Anybody that thinks his 14 year old psychopathic son needs to have a high capacity semi-auto is a fool, and should spend the rest of his life behind bars.

 

[LivingTheDream]

This is a pretty big deal. For the last few cycles Nate Silver and his 538 analysis was the golden boy for democrat polling. In '23 he was essentially dumped by Disney who would not meet his contract demands. His analysis is not only very accurate, but unlike typical aggradation polling is based on gaming theory. His model is proprietary and he is now providing updates and forecasts independently. Not surprisingly, they differ from the current analysis at 538.

Silver released this today. It will give the Harris camp vapors. Whatever else, the DNC bounce wasn't. Note the popular vote prediction is still in Harris's favor. Were Trump to win that it would quell some of the post election media driven discord.


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In watching the betting markets, I feel like I could have predicted there would be no DNC bounce. The betting markets swung to Trump while the DNC was on going.

And though not being reported or even tracked. In conversations I am having and comments I am seeing from Males under the age of 30, Kamala has a youth problem as well.

 

[Altitude sickness]

In watching the betting markets, I feel like I could have predicted there would be no DNC bounce. The betting markets swung to Trump while the DNC was on going.

And though not being reported or even tracked. In conversations I am having and comments I am seeing from Males under the age of 30, Kamala has a youth problem as well.

I will still wager towards your favorite rifle.

That Trump will never sit at the R. Desk again.

 

[Doubleplay]

Betting odds are slightly favoring Harris.
I wonder what they base their predictions on?

 

[Altitude sickness]

They know we are very near the 45% of voters wanting cradle to grave government oversight and care. The tipping point needed for them to never lose another election is inching closer every four years.

Some smart people stated. (once the electorate votes themselves coin from the government purse there is no turning back). Loosely translated

 

[Brent in Az]

Not sure where you guys are getting the betting polls from?

 

[LivingTheDream]

I will still wager towards your favorite rifle.

That Trump will never sit at the R. Desk again.

Too soon to take this bet, I actually think the debate is not going to go well for DJT.

In a world where viral clips rule over actually policy, I am betting she gets some rehearsed line out there and he says something stupid.

She will also say something stupid however it will only get played in a right wing echo chamber.

Just the reality of the world we live in.