If he is right, they will have a five to seven vote majority in the senate as well. Goodbye to almost everything.Nate Silver's presidential national election map as of October 16.
I am posting this so we can see how well it ages.
View attachment 372245
If that comes true, I may well be the one threatening to move out of the country.Nate Silver's presidential national election map as of October 16.
I am posting this so we can see how well it ages.
View attachment 372245
Nate Silver's presidential national election map as of October 16.
I am posting this so we can see how well it ages.
View attachment 372245
It extremely hard as a foreigner to buy real estate in New Zealand...I have been researching my contingency plan in case everything goes to shit.
| Poll | Date | Sample | MoE | Clinton (D) | Trump (R) | Johnson (L) | Stein (G) | Spread |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Final Results | -- | -- | -- | 48.2 | 46.1 | 3.3 | 1.1 | Clinton +2.1 |
| RCP Average | 11/2 - 11/7 | -- | -- | 45.5 | 42.2 | 4.7 | 1.9 | Clinton +3.3 |
| Bloomberg | 11/4 - 11/6 | 799 LV | 3.5 | 44 | 41 | 4 | 2 | Clinton +3 |
| IBD/TIPP Tracking | 11/4 - 11/7 | 1026 LV | 3.1 | 43 | 45 | 8 | 2 | Trump +2 |
| Economist/YouGov | 11/4 - 11/7 | 3677 LV | -- | 45 | 41 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +4 |
| ABC/Wash Post Tracking | 11/3 - 11/6 | 2220 LV | 2.5 | 47 | 43 | 4 | 1 | Clinton +4 |
| FOX News | 11/3 - 11/6 | 1295 LV | 2.5 | 48 | 44 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +4 |
| Monmouth | 11/3 - 11/6 | 748 LV | 3.6 | 50 | 44 | 4 | 1 | Clinton +6 |
| Gravis | 11/3 - 11/6 | 16639 RV | 1.0 | 47 | 43 | 3 | 2 | Clinton +4 |
| NBC News/Wall St. Jrnl | 11/3 - 11/5 | 1282 LV | 2.7 | 44 | 40 | 6 | 2 | Clinton +4 |
| Reuters/Ipsos | 11/2 - 11/6 | 2196 LV | 2.3 | 42 | 39 | 6 | 3 | Clinton +3 |
| Rasmussen Reports | 11/2 - 11/6 | 1500 LV | 2.5 | 45 | 43 | 4 | 2 | Clinton +2 |
| CBS News | 11/2 - 11/6 | 1426 LV | 3.0 | 45 | 41 | 5 | 2 | Clinton +4 |
Oh no.
When you dig down into the details, there are multiple things that don't jive with the polls. ie: In most swing states, there are more registered democrats than republicans. The margin has shrunk in most of those states since 2016. These are states that Trump won in 2016, yet the polls are giving those states to Biden. (I will try to remember to post examples as I come across them) This is just one example. I truly think many of the polls are as corrupt as the media. They are building the narrative that Trump cheated and Russia helped.
Trump has had the goods on Biden, Clinton and Obama since 2017. He will release whatever he needs between now and the election to assure victory, then let Barr deal with the prosecutions.
In 2016 I was busy with life and didn't have time to delve into the details. I was also not a Trump fan and didn't decide to vote for him over Johnson until the last week. I was as surprised as most on election night. This year I have more time to dig into the details. I can certainly be wrong but feel pretty good at the moment.
PS: Regarding extended deadliness to count votes, 6 of 7 circuit courts have sided with the law and not allowed extensions. The democrats were relying on having a set number, in close races to make up like the seven house races they flipped in Orange County after election day, 2018.
That video is an oldie, but a goodie!Looks like Mr. Woods has some thoughts on the election.
James Woods
@RealJamesWoods
Trump on Nov 3 after all this Democrat bullshit from the Left...
DawsonSField Retweeted
