Do you or your contacts have any idea about how loyal the 80 million population is to the Supreme Leader? Of course I have heard about the protests in Iran but I have no idea how widespread the sentiments are in Iran. I have heard from US hunters that hunted Iran not too long ago that the people were very friendly and, dare I say, pro-US.
The IDF reported last nights defense cost Isreal around a billion dollars.
A smoking Iranian refinery / production facility or two would be a solid deterrence of future Iranian attacks, IMO. Hit their revenue producing assets and make the regime loose support.
I believe there is indeed a lot of descension within Iran. What I do not know, is the reaction of that population to being attacked by the United States. I would suggest even the sagest analyst in CIA, State, or academia has no idea either. However, history offers us a lot of clues. The German Blitz of the UK, the American and British bombardment of Germany, and the US strategic bombardment of Japan (less the two nuclear bombs) not only did not damage civilian morale, but actually served to solidify it and unite the targeted populations for the duration of the war. The same thing is going on in Ukraine right now where they have been under missile and drone bombardment for two years. I think it is quite likely any punitive raids launched by us would be as likely unite Iran as divide it.