I don’t buy into the notion that China is playing chess while the US plays checkers. The history of China is replete with dynasties, civil wars, Mongol invasions and occupation. Yeah, people who identify as Chinese have been around a long time. But they rise up and change governments with regularity. This history scares the bejesus out of the CCP by the way.
The “modern” versions of China, namely the Republic of China (1912-1949) and the People’s Republic of China (1949-now) were a complete break with Chinese history. The Republic was a flash in the pan (unless you believe that Taiwan is the legitimate capital of China) and there are plenty of Americans older than the People’s Republic! Wake up Joe, I’m talking about you!
Just one good example of CCP malfeasance…..their One Child Policy. This one mistake will lead to China’s ultimate (and fast approaching) collapse. They passed the point of no return 20 years ago. In as little as a decade from now, they won’t have enough 20-30 year olds to staff their factories. Their trade-driven economy will collapse and they’ll have neither the money nor food to support their large number of retirees. Revolution and breakup will follow.
I won’t go into the nonsense of allowing one man to run everything. Cults of personality never end well. Once again, Africa will say goodbye to an imperial master who simply can’t afford the upkeep.
In the near term, China is dangerous. In 20 years we wont be giving them much thought.