Only 25% of cases in China were people with underlying conditions but that is where 99% of deaths came from. 75% of cases are young people and people with no underlying conditions but only a .9% fatality rate.Our county just reported the first covid cases. Two women in their 40s, one man in his 50s and an infant. Virus is not just for the elderly.
Chinese death rates by age:
10-19 = .2%
20-29 = .2%
30-39 = .2%
40-49 = .4%
50-59 = 1.3%
60-69 = 3.6%
70-79 = 8%
80+ = 14.8%
Overall case fatality rate = 2.3%
FATALITY RATE FOR PATIENTS WITH NO COMORBID CONDITIONS = .9%
This means that 91.9% of fatalities had comorbid (complicating factors). Why don't we just have seniors with complications and others with complications stay home so we can keep our businesses and economy running??? Talk to your politicians with these facts.
I heard today that Italy's deaths are also 99% people with underlying conditions. I am looking into it.
http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51
Chinese death rates by age:
10-19 = .2%
20-29 = .2%
30-39 = .2%
40-49 = .4%
50-59 = 1.3%
60-69 = 3.6%
70-79 = 8%
80+ = 14.8%
Overall case fatality rate = 2.3%
FATALITY RATE FOR PATIENTS WITH NO COMORBID CONDITIONS = .9%
This means that 91.9% of fatalities had comorbid (complicating factors). Why don't we just have seniors with complications and others with complications stay home so we can keep our businesses and economy running??? Talk to your politicians with these facts.
I heard today that Italy's deaths are also 99% people with underlying conditions. I am looking into it.
http://weekly.chinacdc.cn/en/article/id/e53946e2-c6c4-41e9-9a9b-fea8db1a8f51
It may come down to that if a vaccine turns out to be a multi-year effort. The issue is that the complications include age, obesity, hypertension, heart and respiratory issues and so forth that encompass something over 40% of the adult US population. It's not just asking the over 65's to stay home.
I trust the people I know on the front lines of this in Seattle
While younger people may not have the mortality rate of older people, they still take up their share of hospital and ICU beds. Keeping the medical system from being overloaded is important.
With school closed, many kids have extended their spring break. It will be interesting what comes out of the 2020 spring break petri dish.
https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/69/wr/mm6912e2.htm
FIGURE 2. Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) hospitalizations,* intensive care unit (ICU) admissions,† and deaths,§ by age group — United States, February 12– March 16, 2020
* Hospitalization status missing or unknown for 1,514 cases.
† ICU status missing or unknown for 2,253 cases.
§ Illness outcome or death missing or unknown for 2,001 cases.
Exactly.The epidemiological characteristics of coronavirus do not match the response. .9% of the healthy people that get CV have died. About 3% of unhealthy people that get it have died. We accept that a half million flu deaths will occur yearly to the same vulnerable populations with underlying conditions. Are you less dead if the flu kills you? Why aren't we concentrating on those people with underlying conditions and limiting interactions with them? Instead, we are shutting down everything and everyone. Our free market economy is a risk. Recessions, depressions and unemployment cause deaths as well.
To that I would add that any airline that comes asking for public money better be prepared to treat the public like owners going forward, instead of like sheep.Bingo.
Until you have worked in the commercial pork industry and seen a virus move through a 500 sow pig barn over night and kill 397 head of sows full of baby pigs the next two day its hard to realy understand their reasons for no large assemblys of people.We tend to error on the side of caution more now day than we ever used to is that because we learned something from past experience????