Politics

US oil and natural gas production has been at or near record levels for the past few years. There's not much capacity to allow for much more upside. Biden did kill some major pipeline projects and LNG exports. Righting these wrongs will help, but they will take time. It is much more complex than simply yelling, "Drill baby drill!"

And not to mention something like 95% of the gas wells Chesapeake drilled in the late oughts and early teens were capped (Permian, Eagle Ford, Barnett, Bakken, Haynesville, Woodbine, eastern OH/western PA, etc). We have enough NG to last us a couple centuries. But we have to turn away from the insanity of renewable energy. Li batteries, wind, and solar are dead ends. Let private concerns continue to fiddle with and invest in those things if they like.

I'd consider it a major victory if we could just break ground on 2 or 3 molten salt reactors before the end of Trump's tenure.
 
If hegseth’s primary purpose is rooting out DEI, and Trump likes him because he thinks hegseth will be loyal, the better position for hegseth would have been deputy SECDEF… he could focus on the DEI issue while the SECDEF ran the agency… and gain some experience in how to manage large organizations in the process.. if/when the SECDEF proved to be a problem for trump, hegseth would have been far better positioned to take over the role at that point…

Hegseth might be qualified to be Whitehouse spokesperson.
 
It is early morning, and I have had my first cup of coffee. My dismay at the SECDEF appointment hasn't gone away, but let me try to be a bit less snarky though a bit more pedantic in my reasoning.

@sgt_zim is correct in that DEI is an issue in the US military. After approximately three years of implementation, it has risen to the point of mild annoyance at Brigade and below in the ground forces and Wing and below in the Air Force. And no, DEI officers are not assigned to unit level. Though a training officer and NCO will have been given the unenviable responsibility of ensuring the unit meets whatever annual briefing/training is required - just like a host of other non-combat related briefing/training requirements units are directed to receive ranging from suicide prevention to substance abuse.

The real danger with DEI is that it would eventually pollute the promotion system and adversely affect the perception of the Armed forces as a merit based institution. The former has not yet occured. No centralized promotion board in any service has a DEI-based quota. There have been some changes. For instance, the files used by US Army officer promotion boards that select officers for promotion, schooling, and command no longer contain any race or ethnicity indicators. The official photograph was eliminated. For a meritocracy, perhaps that is not an altogether bad idea. :E Shrug:

Public, even intra-service perception has been a very different issue. Political appointees in suits and dresses (whatever their gender) :oops: created the initial recruiting campaigns that have failed so spectacularly for the Army in particular. That is why over the last year you have all seen the resurrection of the "Be All You Can Be" recruiting slogan and much more focus on soldiers being soldiers.

But, DEI is far from being the primary reason for a shortfall in recruiting. Across much of the nation, recruiters were not operating in most of the nation's high schools for the better part of two-years thanks to the pandemic. Also, unemployment is at historically low levels. Additionally, the percentage of obese high school graduate age young men and women has risen dramatically over the last decade.

Recruiting is also a regionally, and thus politically, driven effort. In the old Confederacy and lower Midwest, the military remains a highly respected institution, and those regional goals are being met - even exceeded. But on the highly populated coasts, reflecting a very different political climate, all uniformed service (including the police) have suffered a significant decline favorable opinion.

Simply firing a few generals and ending an annoying program are not going to fix those conditions.

Let's also reflect on that for a bit. We live in a democracy where the military responds to civilian control. Whenever a new administration comes into power with a new set of priorities, however nonsensical, the leadership salutes and does its best to comply and it happens with both parties.

For instance, I was in the pentagon when the Bush administration and Rumsfeld arrived. Our most recent combat experience had been the Balkans and Rumsfeld had decided the nation no longer needed a large standing army organized for high intensity conflict. in the future we could do it all with air-delivered "shock and awe." We were directed to begin studying how to bring force structure down by two divisions, and how to reorganize two others into peace keeping commands. The Army leadership, however reluctantly, saluted and began studying how that might be accomplished.

However, our enemies have a vote in these things, and the reality of 911 quickly brought a screeching halt to those plans.

That deference to civilian leadership is why I have a really hard time with these comments by Hegseth reference DEI and the military leadership on a podcast.

“First of all, you’ve got to fire the chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Any general that was involved, any general, admiral, whatever, that was involved in any of the DEI/woke shit has got to go.”

Setting aside the sophomoric syntax, if implemented, this would be a true political purge of what has been a remarkably apolitical institution throughout its history. It would also inject a political bias into the selection of senior leaders that previous administrations and the institution has always sought to avoid (that meritocracy thing).

Finally, if we compare ending the "woke shit" to all the issues on the plate of a SECDEF to the human body, eliminating DEI is equivalent of trimming the nail of the little finger of the left hand. I see absolutely nothing in this man's background that indicates he is remotely prepared to make decisions about running the largest and perhaps most critical enterprise on the planet. He is no George C. Marshall, Cap Weinberger, James Schlesinger, or Robert Gates. Assuming this actually happens, I hope the senate has the courage to fully exercise its responsibilities to advise and consent.
 
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I was an "Upstream guy" in the oil industry and refineries are part of the "Downstream" side of the business. I believe your comment is correct, there have been no new refineries built in the US in a very long time. The permitting process is the problem. Nobody wants a new refinery built in their backyard. So what ends up happening is existing refineries get rebuilt, updated, modernized, etc. Refining is all about being efficient. Chevron's two refineries in California are both over 100 years old. Richmond, in the Bay Area, was the first and El Segundo, south of LA, was the second one. El Segundo actually means , "The Second," and the name was selected by the wife of the CEO. So the town of El Segundo, CA actually took it's name from the refinery.

Regarding wells offshore in the GOM, reservoir deplete and wells quit producing. There is a break even point when the production doesn't cover the expense. Wells get plugged and platforms (not rigs!!!) get removed. Many of the platforms are cut up and placed on the ocean floor to create artificial reefs. Fisherman love them!
Some of the platforms in the gulf have been dismantled, you can’t find so much as a bump on the bottom machine where they stood but the ones that are turned into reefs are fantastic to fish around. I really like fishing around the drill ships 100 or so miles offshore. “Rigs”is just a generic term that us fisherman use here in the gulf.
 
Concerning government spending and waste within the US Department of Defense (DoD)…

Working directly for the US Department of Defense, or with DoD as a contractor is hard, very hard. Much of this is due to the US Constitution, Article I, Section 8, Clause 12:

[The Congress shall have Power . . . ] To raise and support Armies, but no Appropriation of Money to that Use shall be for a longer Term than two Years; . . .

Within the military branches there are funding time limits which created a use it or lose it culture...

One-year is allowed for Operations and Maintenance (O&M) funding. This includes day to day operations, i.e. fuel for trucks and planes, maintenance repair parts, deployment and training expenses, travel and per diem when necessary and so on. Any funding remaining near the end of the fiscal year (30 September), must be spent. Otherwise next year’s budget may be reduced because that unspent funding clearly was not required.

Two-years are allowed to expend funding for Research, Development, Test, and Evaluations (RDT&E). When a service develops requirements for new equipment such as an example, First Person Viewing (FPV) drones, it has two years to develop and test such equipment. RDT&E programs are usually set up along multiple funding years so that technologies may be matured prior to any procurement decisions.

Three-years is allowed for Procurement of new equipment. This is after RDT&E is complete (in most cases) or if a service decides to procure “off the shelf” equipment such as computers, commercial vehicles and so on.

For the above RDT&E and Procurement funds,

Five-years is allowed to expend funding that is “on contract”. For example, If the Air Force decides to buy additional aircraft, once the contract is signed, the contractor has five years to deliver. If those planes take four years to order parts, assemble, test, and so on, there isn’t much time remaining for any delays such as a strike at a factory, or integrated circuits (chip) not available due to a fire in the factory, or anything else.

Within DoD there are rules, regulations, and Public Law (US Code) that must be followed. Government personnel pull their hair out trying to do good only to hit bureaucratic obstacles. After years of getting beat to parade rest by the system time after time, some employees decide to throttle back and only do what is necessary.

To get something done within government or any large bureaucracy, the trick is to find those persons within the apparatus that are still charging forward, damming any torpedoes in their path. Unfortunately, very often those persons will not be promoted to the most senior grades. Instead they become the old subject matter experts (SME) that can do anything, if senior managers will clear away some of the road blocks.

Then we have those evil, money grubbing defense contractors. How many of you remember Al Gore as Vice President reducing the government? I remember he and his henchmen declaring that Military Specifications (MILSPEC) were not required. Our military systems are expensive but they function as required by the design specifications (where MILSPEC Date Item Discerptions (DID) are “invoked”) and functional requirements. Yes, the procurement system may be "broken", but we owe it to our brave young men and women that when they engage the enemy, their equipment functions as designed.

To be able to efficiently work with DoD as contractors, those companies need people who can function within the sub-cultures of each service. Thus, former and retired military and DoD Civilian employees are hired to bridge the space between civilian contractor and the US Military.

So, if Elon and Vivek lead a Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE), I hope they are indeed smart enough to look for the source of the problem. Too many rules, regulations, and laws that hinder efficiency. Allow senior leaders to make common sense decisions! Many of those rules were made to safeguard our tax dollars, only to cause more dollars to be spent when adhering to those rules!

What is needed is a Czar of Common Sense!
 
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Four years of pissin and moanin about Trump as president. Four years of pissin and moaonin about Trump when he wasn’t president. Now four more years of pissin and meaning to look forward to. Ugh… like having to endure 12 years of RINO Neocon version of The View in Harmony with the Madcow.

I learned first hand of the Commiefornia culture over 60 years ago. I was visiting family in LA at Christmas… I was may be 12. Nextdoor neighbor kid and I were visiting in the front yard. He was about same age as I, 12 or so. He asked where I was from. I said New Mexico. In smart assed tone, he asked what was important about New Mexico and who important was from there. I said the only thing that popped into my head, “uhh well… oh… Smokey Bear is from New Mexico”. He turned beet red, started screaming that “I was a piece of crap and Smokey Bear was from California” then stomped back inside his house. Never saw him again. Like locusts, that mentality has spread/migrated back across the country, slowly, surely corrupting as they go.
 
Four years of pissin and moanin about Trump as president. Four years of pissin and moaonin about Trump when he wasn’t president. Now four more years of pissin and meaning to look forward to. Ugh… like having to endure 12 years of RINO Neocon version of The View in Harmony with the Madcow.

I learned first hand of the Commiefornia culture over 60 years ago. I was visiting family in LA at Christmas… I was may be 12. Nextdoor neighbor kid and I were visiting in the front yard. He was about same age as I, 12 or so. He asked where I was from. I said New Mexico. In smart assed tone, he asked what was important about New Mexico and who important was from there. I said the only thing that popped into my head, “uhh well… oh… Smokey Bear is from New Mexico”. He turned beet red, started screaming that “I was a piece of crap and Smokey Bear was from California” then stomped back inside his house. Never saw him again. Like locusts, that mentality has spread/migrated back across the country, slowly, surely corrupting as they go.
It’s nice you can remember a conversation with Gavin Newsome from so many years ago!
 
I just wrote an email to both of my US Senators, John Kennedy and Bill Cassidy, urging them to not confirm Pete Hegseth as SOD. The Republican controlled Senate can do both the President and our country a favor by insisting a more qualified person is nominated. The Senate should not just rubber stamp everything that Trump sends their way.

I urge others to write their Senators too.

I'm 375 Ruger Fan and I approved this message. :)
So, you’re a Never Trumper, that wants the swamp to remain as is, huh?
 
The outstanding seat in AK is pretty much a done deal.. not sure why they havent called that one yet.. sorta stupid honestly..

Same situation with the outstanding seat in AZ..

Those two seats give the R's the majority at 218...

The issue is with the 6x CA seats still uncalled.. where only about 70% of the freaking vote has been counted after 9 days.. Its looking like 3 of those seats will go D, and 3 of those seats will go R.. which would give the R's 221 seats.. but with 30% of the vote still outstanding, who really knows..

At this point it is highly unlikely that the D's will take back the house though.. the only question is whether or not the R's are going to own the house with a paper thin majority again, or have a comfortable enough margin to overcome the R congressmen that tend to lean away from their party on certain issues..
 
So, you’re a Never Trumper, that wants the swamp to remain as is, huh?
Stop reading Ecclesiastes and start spending more time in the Gospels.

Spoiler alert: the good guys win.

No promises were made on what happens between now and then.
 
“First of all, you’ve got to fire the chairman of the Joint Chiefs. Any general that was involved, any general, admiral, whatever, that was involved in any of the DEI/woke shit has got to go.”

Setting aside the sophomoric syntax, if implemented, this would be a true political purge of what has been a remarkably apolitical institution throughout its history.

But, it hasn't been an apolitical organization with the last two dem Admins in power, and certainly not apolitical for the last 4 years...

I honestly have to laugh out loud over the controversy here in regard to some of Trump's picks... Regardless of their ability to make a significant difference, if absolutely nothing else, the mere presence of new, unwoke, America-first, perspectives in these positions are a huge step in the right direction... Individual success may vary position by position as they always do within ANY Admin, and I'm quite certain not all these picks will be homeruns. I expect Trump to be as aggressive, if not more so this time around in making changes if somebody falls short of assisting the implementation of his agenda...

As the second worst POTUS in U.S. history once said, "elections have consequences"... Ironically, the consequences of this election will be realized by the establishment dinosaurs on both sides of the isle which pleases me very much... And let's not forget that it's entirely a POTUS's prerogative for placing a higher premium toward those individuals he deems loyal to the America-First agenda as well as loyalty to him personally, and less on their D.C. establishment experience... Let the purge begin!
 
The outstanding seat in AK is pretty much a done deal.. not sure why they havent called that one yet.. sorta stupid honestly..

Same situation with the outstanding seat in AZ..

Those two seats give the R's the majority at 218...

The issue is with the 6x CA seats still uncalled.. where only about 70% of the freaking vote has been counted after 9 days.. Its looking like 3 of those seats will go D, and 3 of those seats will go R.. which would give the R's 221 seats.. but with 30% of the vote still outstanding, who really knows..

At this point it is highly unlikely that the D's will take back the house though.. the only question is whether or not the R's are going to own the house with a paper thin majority again, or have a comfortable enough margin to overcome the R congressmen that tend to lean away from their party on certain issues..
Which makes Trump tapping 2 republicans out of the house for jobs in the administration problematic until they can hold their special elections. I’m confident DeSantis will hold his election quickly but I’m guessing that the governor of New York will drag her feet as long as possible.
 
At some point, candidates matter. If one goes alienating their constituency enough they will lose the election. She got 100K+ less votes than Trump.
I don’t disagree. I despise Gaetz but I’d still rather have his vote more often than not instead of a vote vote against from a leftist. Until someone better can win..
 
I don’t disagree. I despise Gaetz but I’d still rather have his vote more often than not instead of a vote vote against from a leftist. Until someone better can win..
Gaetz has voted more with Democrats than the GOP in this House session on substantial votes.
 
I despise Gaetz but I’d still rather have his vote more often than not instead of a vote vote against from a leftist. Until someone better can win..

Don't hold your breath where Gaetz is concerned...

He just crushed a Kevin McCarthy-backed primary challenger with 76% of the vote, and has dominated his general election bids by an average of 38% margin of victory...

Gaetz arguably represents the most MAGA district in Florida, if not the country... His anti D.C., establishment-defiant platform is hugely popular with his electorate... I doubt any politician in the country currently enjoys a more secure constituency.
 
Which makes Trump tapping 2 republicans out of the house for jobs in the administration problematic until they can hold their special elections. I’m confident DeSantis will hold his election quickly but I’m guessing that the governor of New York will drag her feet as long as possible.

Completely concur
 

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