Politics

[mdwest]

Boeing already have a 7 year backlog on orders....and Qatar has a lot of planes on order as is.....a lot can change in that period of time...

View attachment 685240

Im not sure I agree with Aboulafia...

If Airbus, Boeing and others increase production, who exactly is going to fly all of these new planes?

There haven't been enough pilots to fly the airframes and the scheduled routes in the commercial aviation side of the house in years (COVID escalated this to a global scale.. but its been a problem in the US and Europe for more than a decade).. and on the military side the problem is actually worse..

And the shortage is getting worse, not better..

By 2032 its expected that there will be a global shortage of qualified commercial pilots of about 80,000..

Right now airlines are largely just ordering enough aircraft, and scheduling the delivery of those aircraft to meet the timelines they expect for replacing older aircraft in their fleets.. no one is expanding their fleets in large numbers, because there simply arent enough pilots to fly any additional aircraft they might add..

the world is becoming more and more jet-set... but the pilot career field isn't all that appealing anymore, and enough young people arent entering at a rate to keep up with the expanding demand

 

[spike.t]

Im not sure I agree with Aboulafia...

If Airbus, Boeing and others increase production, who exactly is going to fly all of these new planes?

There haven't been enough pilots to fly the airframes and the scheduled routes in the commercial aviation side of the house in years (COVID escalated this to a global scale.. but its been a problem in the US and Europe for more than a decade).. and on the military side the problem is actually worse..

And the shortage is getting worse, not better..

By 2032 its expected that there will be a global shortage of qualified commercial pilots of about 80,000..

Right now airlines are largely just ordering enough aircraft, and scheduling the delivery of those aircraft to meet the timelines they expect for replacing older aircraft in their fleets.. no one is expanding their fleets in large numbers, because there simply arent enough pilots to fly any additional aircraft they might add..

View attachment 685266

the world is becoming more and more jet-set... but the pilot career field isn't all that appealing anymore, and enough young people arent entering at a rate to keep up with the expanding demand

Airlines are waiting on planes being delivered....big backlog and airlines are holding on to old planes ,or as with some bringing back mothballed ones that they had actually taken out of service mostly during covid ..some airlines are cutting services due to lack of new planes and spare parts not being available....Boeing and airbus both have big back orders which is why China is desperate to get their industry ramped up....but certification is proving a bit of a problem for them thankfully.....

 

[bowjijohn]

Once again peace remains out of reach

The chances stand somewhere between ‘Bob’ and ‘no’ hope

Putin has once again refused any meaningful engagement

He trots out a prisoner release deal in a poor attempt of a fig leaf cover of his refusal to modify his geopolitical ambitions

When ‘o’ when will the West grow tired of this

He is never going to be an ally against China

He will come to the table when, and only when, the West provides sufficient weapons and support to render Russian success in Ukraine unattainable

He might trot out his nuclear toys and parade them about

However - though he might have nothing to lose- those with a finger on the actual button might think differently

 

[Brent in Az]

The glamour of being a commercial airline pilot is not what it used to be. The fierce competition between carriers has kept salaries lower, long hour's, and crappy schedules, attribute to shortages of pilots.
The competition for the better private jet pilot gigs has increased

 

[rookhawk]

Very interesting JRE podcast featuring a propulsion expert "Harold Sonny White" was put out recently.

They got on the topic of the frequent UAPs (UFOs), in particular the most credible ones sighted by instruments and military pilots that look like tic-tacs.

He had a theoretical explanation for the phenomenon. Apparently there are lasers that can be triangulated on a spot from multiple arrays that ionizes the air creating a plasma. This existing technology could create a visible phenomenon of a craft or object. The challenge is that while this tech could be used from the surface to create objects in the sky, it would have to be generated from the sky or space to create an object that would be visible under the water's surface as some of the UAPs documented by the US military have to date.

One hell of a weapon if a superpower can create ghosts whether to distract or ambush military resources.

 

[spike.t]

Jeez what fkd up mother...

Texas mother accused of helping son plan school shooting

Police say Ashley Pardo "knowingly aided" her son's plans to attack his school in exchange for him babysitting his younger siblings.

www.bbc.com

 

[Tundra Tiger]

Jeez what fkd up mother...

Texas mother accused of helping son plan school shooting

Police say Ashley Pardo "knowingly aided" her son's plans to attack his school in exchange for him babysitting his younger siblings.

www.bbc.com

She should never have been released. And should be stripped of being a mom. Just... wow.

 

[Rocked and Loaded]

Oil output has recently been raised with Saudi pushing it and Russia agreed....also just read large amounts of Venezuelan oil are going to China via Brazil....

Impossible. I was told in this very thread that China is leading the way in green energy and will save the environment while the evil USA continues to use fossil fuels.

Surely they have no need for oil?

 

[deewayne2003]

Oil output has recently been raised with Saudi pushing it and Russia agreed....also just read large amounts of Venezuelan oil are going to China via Brazil....

Venezuelan oil has been going to China for some time, they take it because of the STEEP discount they get, a large portion of Venezuela's state owned tankers are impounded in ports around the world because they simply do not have the money to repair them or pay portage fees.

The port of Caracas is so polluted with crude oil from broken transfer pipes that after filling, the tankers must anchor offshore for days so that divers can scrub the tar oil off of the hulls because if they don't the ships hull is so dirty even after crossing the ocean that Chinese ports will not allow them to enter.

Think about how dirty a boat has to be before the Chinese say it's too polluted to enter their water....

 

[Brent in Az]

 

[Red Leg]

View attachment 685343

Imagine that - and not a RINO on the list - everyone of them a ultra right wing republican. They, and to some extent Charlie Kirk, are the republican equivalents of AOC and Jasmine Crocket - though, admittedly, more articulate. I think I can say with some confidence Nancy Pelosi never let this sort of thing happen on her watch with a democrat president's agenda. It will be interesting to see if Trump can salvage his from the Freedom Caucus and its certainty that they know it better than he does.

 

[rookhawk]

Imagine that - and not a RINO on the list - everyone of them a ultra right wing republican. They, and to some extent Charlie Kirk, are the republican equivalents of AOC and Jasmine Crocket - though, admittedly, more articulate. I think I can say with some confidence Nancy Pelosi never let this sort of thing happen on her watch with a democrat president's agenda. It will be interesting to see if Trump can salvage his from the Freedom Caucus and its certainty that they know it better than he does.

Not in defense of Trump, but in defense of fiscal conservatism I ask this question:

When is a good time for you to tank the economy through spending cuts so that we do not run our fiat currency off a cliff?

The answer is there is never a good time, nor a political advantageous time to cut the budget because it ALWAYS causes short term pain in exchange for long term solvency. Nobody of either party (except maybe Ron Paul?) had the fortitude to push for austerity.

I'd tolerate a five year depression in exchange for a century of solvency as a nation. Apparently, nobody else will strike that bargain. In the end, the deadbeat middle class that pays no taxes suffers the worst, their assets are 401ks in fiat currency that get decimated by inflation, the upper class owns tangible assets and is immune.

 

[Red Leg]

Not in defense of Trump, but in defense of fiscal conservatism I ask this question:

When is a good time for you to tank the economy through spending cuts so that we do not run our fiat currency off a cliff?

The answer is there is never a good time, nor a political advantageous time to cut the budget because it ALWAYS causes short term pain in exchange for long term solvency. Nobody of either party (except maybe Ron Paul?) had the fortitude to push for austerity.

I'd tolerate a five year depression in exchange for a century of solvency as a nation. Apparently, nobody else will strike that bargain. In the end, the deadbeat middle class that pays no taxes suffers the worst, their assets are 401ks in fiat currency that get decimated by inflation, the upper class owns tangible assets and is immune.

The thought of leaving fiscal sanity in the hands of Chip Roy is about as comforting as letting Hank Johnson run our defense investments.

 

[Altitude sickness]

Chip Roy won’t like the next bill, or the next.

The one area I agree with Chip Roy is Red states citizens bailing out blue states and propping up the SALT grift. The left bankrupts the state and wants the rest of us to subsidize SALT

 

[rookhawk]

The thought of leaving fiscal sanity in the hands of Chip Roy is about as comforting as letting Hank Johnson run our defense investments.

I know nothing about them, but in any case that would be an ad hominem killing the messenger.

The result (which will never be the result) would be fiscal solvency and a balanced budget. A nation that spends $5T and receives merely $3T is in its final days.

 

[Brent in Az]

Imagine that - and not a RINO on the list - everyone of them a ultra right wing republican. They, and to some extent Charlie Kirk, are the republican equivalents of AOC and Jasmine Crocket - though, admittedly, more articulate. I think I can say with some confidence Nancy Pelosi never let this sort of thing happen on her watch with a democrat president's agenda. It will be interesting to see if Trump can salvage his from the Freedom Caucus and its certainty that they know it better than he does.

The turd in the punchbowl is the medicaid cuts. A very slippery slope. I am all for DOGE cleaning out the waste, and tightening up Medicaid spending to a degree, but cutting Medicaid and SNAP assistance to the elderly, and vulnerable could be political suicide going into the midterms.
Chip Roy and his gang want steeper cuts to medicaid.
If it makes its way to the Senate, they could very well gut the medicaid cuts out of the bill. A Senate that has RINOs with more clout then what you will find in the house.

 

[Red Leg]

I know nothing about them, but in any case that would be an ad hominem killing the messenger.

The result (which will never be the result) would be fiscal solvency and a balanced budget. A nation that spends $5T and receives merely $3T is in its final days.

Agreed. 2024's actual numbers were $6.75 trillion in expenditures and $4.9 in revenue. Team Trump clearly envisions dramatic GDP growth to offset the deficit.

 

[Altitude sickness]

The turd in the punchbowl is the medicaid cuts. A very slippery slope. I am all for DOGE cleaning out the waste, and tightening up Medicaid spending to a degree, but cutting Medicaid and SNAP assistance to the elderly, and vulnerable could be political suicide going into the midterms.
Chip Roy and his gang want steeper cuts to medicaid.
If it makes its way to the Senate, they could very well gut the medicaid cuts out of the bill. A Senate that has RINOs with more clout then what you will find in the house.

You’re falling for the lefts Medicare and Medicaid BS message. Obama should be hauled in to explain why Medicaid is insolvent.

Obama drastically increased Medicaid eligibility to able bodied people and many others. Medicaid is supposed to be a safety net for the very few not 1/3 of the population.

If Medicaid isn’t brought back in line with the original design and intent. No one will have coverage.

Obama's Medicaid Expansion: States Beware

www.rpc.senate.gov

 

[Mekaniks]

Where is the all the savings from Doge??
reducing government overhead, finding fraud and waste is supposed to help the budget…. But they are still voting on budgets with a 2T $ deficit and increasing the spending cap????
It almost looks like politics as usual with simply different spending priorities…

 

[Brent in Az]

You’re falling for the lefts Medicare and Medicaid BS message. Obama should be hauled in to explain why Medicaid is insolvent.

Obama drastically increased Medicaid eligibility to able bodied people and many others. Medicaid is supposed to be a safety net for the very few not 1/3 of the population.

If Medicaid isn’t brought back in line with the original design and intent. No one will have coverage.

Obama's Medicaid Expansion: States Beware

www.rpc.senate.gov

Im not falling for anything. I'm just repeating what I read about the bill, and what has been said by various sources.