mark-hunter
AH legend
Always read with caution. Fake news can be anywhere.
As per:
An investigation into ivory trade in the UK
2004
By international fund for animal welfare.
(this should be reliable source)
We have:
Kenya: From a high of 275,000 in the late 1970s, its elephant population fell to just 20,000 in 1989. The population has still to recover from this massacre, now numbering only between22,000 and 29,000.
Link
So this is 7% of former healthy population.
As per above article we have:
Who knows were are we really now? If the 20k, was the worst low, can we say it is 40.000 population now? (14%?)
- Since 2014, Kenya's elephant population has almost doubled, this with poaching incidences declining.
However, I went a step further and went to check what online AI will say.
I will qoute mr all-knowing AI:
According to the most recent estimates, Kenya is home to approximately 34,000 elephants. These majestic creatures are found in various national parks and reserves across the country, including Amboseli National Park, Tsavo National Park, and Maasai Mara National Reserve.
In conclusion, after ban on hunting in 73 and 77, Kenya now "manages" 12.3% of its former elephant population.
More over, they lost entire population of white rhino. The last white rhino of kenya died few years ago. Wilderness is devastated and most probably majority of elephants is kept in national parks.
In national parks elephants and other animals are protected by armed rangers, and saving population by collecting dung, brings my doubts.
I am following on my previous post.
Elephant birth rate in normal condition is 5%.
Population growth is differnece between mortality and birth rate.
So, as per calculation this is birth rate since census in 1989.
1990 20000 21000
1991 21000 22050
1992 22050 23152.5
1993 23152.5 24310.125
1994 24310.125 25525.63125
1995 25525.63125 26801.91281
1996 26801.91281 28142.00845
1997 28142.00845 29549.10888
1998 29549.10888 31026.56432
1999 31026.56432 32577.89254
2000 32577.89254 34206.78716
2001 34206.78716 35917.12652
2002 35917.12652 37712.98285
2003 37712.98285 39598.63199
2004 39598.63199 41578.56359
2005 41578.56359 43657.49177
2006 43657.49177 45840.36636
2007 45840.36636 48132.38467
2008 48132.38467 50539.00391
2009 50539.00391 53065.9541
2010 53065.9541 55719.25181
2011 55719.25181 58505.2144
2012 58505.2144 61430.47512
2013 61430.47512 64501.99887
2014 64501.99887 67727.09882
2015 67727.09882 71113.45376
2016 71113.45376 74669.12645
2017 74669.12645 78402.58277
2018 78402.58277 82322.71191
2019 82322.71191 86438.8475
2020 86438.8475 90760.78988
2021 90760.78988 95298.82937
2022 95298.82937 100063.7708
2023 100063.7708 105066.9594
As per last estimate - present population census is 34.000.
I have no other way of estimating that small elephant population growth in last 33 years is 14.000,
Population growth is about average 500 animals per year.
This is probably focused in protected national parks, such as TSavo. Causing the problem of over population.
So, what is really happening is that elephants are overcrowding protected national parks, while wilderness areas ar devastated by poaching. When they move out of park, they cause damage, then they "dissapear". Poaching again?
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Elephant Population Outgrowing Kenya's Parks | African Budget Safaris
Good news - elephant numbers in Kenya are increasing strongly! The not so good news is that conflict between humans and the elephants roaming into villages and onto ranches is also increasing.
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