Nothing you have said is wrong, but still if you apply for a drawing hunt and are drawn, and you go with a guide familiar with the area. There are guides who enjoy a higher level of success than the average guide. Keep in mind some of these guides come from the lower 48, as due to interstate commerce laws they are allowed to guide here just like they are residents, even though they cannot legally hunt the animal themselves. Still if you want a more garanteed hunt you are correct. Canada may be a better option. I would recomend chasing mountain goat, and give the sheep a few more years to recover, if time is not an immediate concern.