One Day...
AH elite
It will take a little time but the demographics will speak...
I believe that Hogpatrol makes a very good point that has multiple implications in this discussion: demographics...
I wish I knew how many new DG rifles are sold in the US each year, but I do not... I would not be entirely surprised if it was a lot less than many of us AH aficionados would expect...
There certainly has been a revival of DG rifles sales in the last two decades, precisely due in great part to the wide availability of the CZ 550 in mythical calibers (.404, .416 Rigby, .500 Jeff, .505 Gibbs, etc), not to forget the newer .458 Lott, but I suspect that this was pent-up demand that could not be satisfied in the previous few decades. I agree with Hogpatrol that the likelihood for the market to see another rebound a decade or two from now is pretty slim...
I believe that Hogpatrol makes a very good point that has multiple implications in this discussion: demographics...
I wish I knew how many new DG rifles are sold in the US each year, but I do not... I would not be entirely surprised if it was a lot less than many of us AH aficionados would expect...
There certainly has been a revival of DG rifles sales in the last two decades, precisely due in great part to the wide availability of the CZ 550 in mythical calibers (.404, .416 Rigby, .500 Jeff, .505 Gibbs, etc), not to forget the newer .458 Lott, but I suspect that this was pent-up demand that could not be satisfied in the previous few decades. I agree with Hogpatrol that the likelihood for the market to see another rebound a decade or two from now is pretty slim...
- Per my rather casual count of the CZ 550 in African calibers (.375, .416, .458) available on GunBroker today, there are still 625 new CZ 550 in the US, plus whatever number is not advertised on GunBroker, so the penury will not start "tomorrow."
- However, I also note that apparently all the new .500 Jeffery are already gone from GunBroker. This surprises me a bit because last I checked about a month ago there were still about a dozen available.
- It will be quite interesting from a demographics perspective to see how long it takes to sell the 625 CZ 550 still available on GunBroker today. I would not be overly surprised if the message turns out to be confusing due to:
- On one hand: less DG buyers than most of us likely expect;
- On the other hand: an 'upcoming penury' effect that encourages folks who have been on the fence for a long time to take the jump, or folks with upcoming projects to stock up. I know that I am personally strongly considering buying 2 x .375 for my two boys...
- Then, it will be interesting to see what happens. I am on record in several posts predicting that the CZ 550 will acquire the same 'legend status' as the ZKK 602 did (after all, they ARE the same action), and I further expect, as the availability of CZ 550 becomes scarcer, that many folks will find quite acceptable the need to spend a couple hours or a couple hundred $$ smoothing them, when the alternative comes at 3x to 10x times the price for those who want a magnum length action for the .416 Rigby case family, and/or a true double square bridge, and/or a deep belly magazine, etc. THIS, by the way, has been my position all along when I shared what few folks knew: that the CZ 550 was used by Rigby for decades to build their $15,000 rifles before Mauser resumed the production of their magnum length action, in 1998 if memory serves...
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