COVID Border Closure Impact On Hunters & Outfitters

Just wondering why someone (a hunter) from USA would have to pay for something that your government did to you ( Outfitter).
 
Everyone runs a business differently, and I am thankful that I do not have to run an outfitting operation anywhere. They have my utmost respect. But the model Shockey describes is ripe for a disaster. I shook my head when I read the article, but what he described represents the business plan of probably 75% of the outfitters that I know. All of whom are in some degree of serious trouble now.

I spent most of my career in the military, but I also successfully ran a business unit for a major corporation for over a decade (a 24/7 experience with zero latitude for failure for any of you who have not had the opportunity). That experience gave me a pretty strong practical degree in business administration.

In my experience, most businesses, big or small, are run and balance sheets derived from either a profit or profit/investment model. In other words, profits generated by the business, represent the investment basis for future expenditures or new investment. Deposits are not profit. From a business perspective, they actually shouldn't represent real money. If a business is using that speculative income for current year operating expenses, then that business is well out over its skis and subject to collapse should that funding stream be suddenly cut off for whatever reason. Admittedly, the stream needs to turned on again quickly or the profit margin generated capital evaporates and whatever deposits are on hold will gradually have to be accessed. However, that is a very different model than basing this year's business expenses on a deposit stream for future hunts. I can't imagine trying to sleep with that sort of balance sheet. Yet, as I noted, most outfitters seem to do just that.

That sort of high risk operating expense model is exactly what I took away from Shockey's article. And as I noted, he is hardly alone.

I also would absolutely subscribe to the obvious fact that outfitters who depend upon international hunters are the most at risk as the pandemic has progressed, and even the best managed business can't survive indefinitely without customers.
 
Everyone runs a business differently, and I am thankful that I do not have to run an outfitting operation anywhere. They have my utmost respect. But the model Shockey describes is ripe for a disaster. I shook my head when I read the article, but what he described represents the business plan of probably 75% of the outfitters that I know. All of whom are in some degree of serious trouble now.

I spent most of my career in the military, but I also successfully ran a business unit for a major corporation for over a decade (a 24/7 experience with zero latitude for failure for any of you who have not had the opportunity). That experience gave me a pretty strong practical degree in business administration.

In my experience, most businesses, big or small, are run and balance sheets derived from either a profit or profit/investment model. In other words, profits generated by the business, represent the investment basis for future expenditures or new investment. Deposits are not profit. From a business perspective, they actually shouldn't represent real money. If a business is using that speculative income for current year operating expenses, then that business is well out over its skis and subject to collapse should that funding stream be suddenly cut off for whatever reason. Admittedly, the stream needs to turned on again quickly or the profit margin generated capital evaporates and whatever deposits are on hold will gradually have to be accessed. However, that is a very different model than basing this year's business expenses on a deposit stream for future hunts. I can't imagine trying to sleep with that sort of balance sheet. Yet, as I noted, most outfitters seem to do just that.

That sort of high risk operating expense model is exactly what I took away from Shockey's article. And as I noted, he is hardly alone.

I also would absolutely subscribe to the obvious fact that outfitters who depend upon international hunters are the most at risk as the pandemic has progressed, and even the best managed business can't survive indefinitely without customers.
Business 101 info dump noted and appreciated.

Kind of reminds me of a high-leverage position in stocks.
 
I am thankful that I do not have to run an outfitting operation anywhere. They have my utmost respect.
Indeed! And my utmost respect as well.

How many businesses of any type and any particular business model could survive a year with zero revenue and no warning? Not many I imagine.
Tough situation all the way around.
 
Scott............what happened with your son's Yukon hunt? Can you afford to just let the deposit go? Hope things work out....................FWB
 
Indeed! And my utmost respect as well.

How many businesses of any type and any particular business model could survive a year with zero revenue and no warning? Not many I imagine.
Tough situation all the way around.
Here's my stupid...

I have absolutely no idea about the outfitting world and would appreciate any rebuttals, but can contribute to the personal finance world.

You live lean on the good times, 5-10% or more sent to a non-touchable "oh shit" account where if in times like these you can cushion your pain. Once your cushion is set, you are fat...

Times like these are pretty far and few between in my opinion, so the lean living isn't too often.

Keep a year or two of "Oh Shit" on hand and survive and flourish when the others fail and you reap the benefits.
 
Indeed! And my utmost respect as well.

How many businesses of any type and any particular business model could survive a year with zero revenue and no warning? Not many I imagine.
Tough situation all the way around.
Agreed! But I think most of the farmers/ranchers on this site could offer an education on what happens every few years with crop failures, weather, depressed pricing, etc. especially when the government gets involved. People that have a plan and understand what can happen in life tend to survive better than those that have a steady, regular paycheck every two weeks.
All the outfitters suffering through this deserve all our sympathy and support, especially as they had no control over the situation.
I personally have just rescheduled my trip to Africa and am waiting to find out if a B.C trip in sept is still possible.....
 
I like how there is not one mention of trip insurance in this discussion even though it is brought up in the article, not everything is outfitter’s responsibility. I’m sitting on one significant fully paid trip postponed for another 2 years and 2 smaller European hunts with +/- $5k deposits postponed until 2022. I’ve never purchased trip insurance, but also recognize it as a risk by not doing so. Covid wasn’t expected but the “cancel for any reason” insurance option did exist when hunts were booked. I’m lucky that my outfitters did allow me to reschedule hunts. I would have been unhappy if they did not, but didn’t view it as a requirement on their part.
 
Reading the comments, I feel for people on both sides of the issue, because this is not an act of God as much as it is an act of a mindless liberal dictator. The numbers do not support the level of restrictions still imposed on people.
Right now Ontario is the only place in North America that you can’t sit in a restaurant and eat! Bullshit!
 
Again, with all due respect, maybe the outfitter should use the profitable income generated from the previous seasons to cover those expenses? Anything else is speculation is it not? I would think the main purpose of a hunt deposit is to provide a way for the client to secure the dates for a future hunt by pre-paying an amount significant enough to discourage the client from cancelling within a timeframe where you cannot reasonably fill the vacant dates. The deposit collected can certainly be used to help pay in part for any costs or investments by the outfitter that were necessary to facilitate your upcoming hunt, but I do no think deposits alone should be used as the main source for financing the total amount of expenditures for the upcoming season? By that business model, aren't you simply using the client's money as an interest-free loan to finance the upcoming season? In fact, in that circumstance, the outfitter could actually also make interest on any unused deposit funds.

Shockey's entire perspective is based on the premise that as an outfitter, nearly the entire cost of the client's hunt is already spent before the client even arrives. If that is indeed the case, that is a terrible business model, and I cannot see how that is sustainable. Apparently, if Covid is the example we are using, it is not sustainable, and it will be at the clients' expense. Yet, according to Jim's own explanation, he has only lost the the clients' money, not his own so I am puzzled why he is soliciting empathy?
Thanks for your thoughts. I agree with most of them. I have a marketing degree with a minor in accounting and biology. Each outfitting business is different. I started mine small and built it little by little to be one of the bigger operations in Colorado and probably North America. I didn’t pay myself a penny for the first five years because I had a “real” job and an understanding boss that let me take eight weeks off each fall to conduct the hunts. I reinvested anything leftover into more equipment and infrastructure and then went full time into outfitting in 1995 and quit my real job. Since 1995, I am guiding six months a year. The other six months aren’t really “off season” for me because I’m busy dealing with government agencies, landowners, hunters, employees, paperwork, etc… and spending money for the upcoming hunts.

I didn’t have to pay millions for a Canadian concession. I never had a loan or debt, other than on my home/ranch and it’s been paid off for a while.

Profit is another issue. Some years, I didn’t have much cash leftover but made a profit on paper and had to pay taxes on it. Cash is just an asset that you sometimes exchange for other assets that also end up on your balance sheet. If you buy some new vehicles, horses, real estate or large equipment, those aren’t considered expenses because you’re just trading one asset for another. You then have to come up with more cash to pay income taxes even though those purchases feel like expenses because your cash is depleted.

I made a decent living the last fifteen years or so. I’ve been able to contribute to a retirement account and do some personal hunting. The kids are out of the house and my family expenses have dropped. I sold my business a little over a year ago but signed an employment contract to manage it. I have my nest egg and the new owner is independently wealthy and just wants to own some good outfits. He has a Yukon outfit and just bought a Stone’s sheep outfit. My story and his are much different than a lot of Canadian outfitters that have had to pay millions for a concession. Whether paying back a bank loan for the concession or paying off loans from investors, (hunters/clients), most of those outfitters don’t have much profit going forward from year to year to take a big hit like from COVID. They don’t have large profits to get through a year with little to no income. There are a few outfits in Canada that have been handed down the family and they will probably survive. I also know of a very successful outfitter in NWT that makes a lot of money farming in Alberta. He will be fine but not all are in his position.

Outfitting or owning any business is a lifestyle and dream more than just a job. It is true that many outfitters are just a zero income year away from failing but they take such risks because of the lifestyle, the love of hunting and helping client’s dreams come true. It’s incredibly rewarding but more mentally than financially. If you, as clients, don’t want to take part in the risk, then don’t go on outfitted hunts or do a lot of research.
 
@Scott CWO

I have been a bank manager for over 15 years. I know a thing or two about business...

I have no idea why you are butt hurt and have personally attacked me from the start of this thread, including some cryptic political shot aimed at me. I suspect this is a red herring regarding a political thread from 6 months ago.

Bye, Felicia
Well, as a bank manager (employee), you don’t know what it’s like to OWN a business and personally make payroll or pay the bills. Funny how people that don’t own businesses think that business owners should be able to keep deposits or payments from customers in escrow and never pay themselves until the end of the year?! Ever hear of personal expenses like braces for the kids teeth, college, groceries and household bills? Outfitter families have these every day year-around expenses just like you with your corporate job and have to pay themselves year-around, not just after hunting season with “profit” leftover.

Back in the recession of 2008-2009, a lot of banks were bailed out by the government since banks were considered “too big to fail.” My business was only down about 20% in the recession but all types of other businesses went under while your industry got bailed out so your banking career doesn’t really carry the same risk, does it? During COVID, I didn’t ask for a penny of government money or help because thankfully for USA outfitters, we only lost our spring seasons whereas African and Canadian outfitters lost both.

My business was never a house of cards waiting to tip over from a bad year but lots of outfitters paying for concessions and big leases need a steady stream of year-around revenue to keep going and building equity. I lease a lot of private land and the landowners don’t care whether an outfitter gets fully booked or if you cancel your hunt and they still demand to be paid for the lease no matter what happens.

Yes, I didn’t like your comment about selling horses and now that I hear that you are a bank manager, it all makes more sense.

Yes, as someone who is in an industry dependent on guns and freedom of choice to hunt, I definitely don’t understand or like your political views and don’t mind saying so. How does it feel to be judged for your views or to be in the minority? Most of us on this website are conservative and are quite accustomed to being judged all the time in about every other part of our lives and on other social media platforms by your liberal friends. You are outnumbered here just like we are outnumbered about everywhere else. I have little sympathy for you.
 
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@Scott CWO

I have been a bank manager for over 15 years. I know a thing or two about business...

I have no idea why you are butt hurt and have personally attacked me from the start of this thread, including some cryptic political shot aimed at me. I suspect this is a red herring regarding a political thread from 6 months ago.

Bye, Felicia
Well, as a bank manager (employee), you don’t know what it’s like to OWN a business and personally make payroll or pay the bills. Funny how people that don’t own businesses think that business owners should be able to keep deposits or payments from customers in escrow and never pay themselves until the end of the year?! Ever hear of personal expenses like braces for the kids teeth, college, groceries and household bills? Outfitter families have these every day year-around expenses just like you with your corporate job and have to pay themselves year-around, not just after hunting season with “profit” leftover.

Back in the recession of 2008-2009, a lot of banks were bailed out by the government since banks were considered “too big to fail.” My business was only down about 20% in the recession but all types of other businesses went under while your industry got bailed out so your banking career doesn’t really carry the same risk, does it? During COVID, I didn’t ask for a penny of government money or help because thankfully for USA outfitters, we only lost our spring seasons whereas African and Canadian outfitters lost both.

My business was never a house of cards waiting to tip over from a bad year but lots of outfitters paying for concessions and big leases need a steady stream of year-around revenue to keep going and building equity. I lease a lot of private land and the landowners don’t care whether an outfitter gets fully booked or if you cancel your hunt and they still demand to be paid for the lease no matter what happens.

Yes, I didn’t like your comment about selling horses and now that I hear that you are a bank manager, it all makes more sense.

Yes, as someone who is in an industry dependent on guns and freedom of choice to hunt, I definitely don’t understand or like your political views and don’t mind saying so. How does it feel to be judged for your views or not liked? Most of us on this website are conservative and are quite accustomed to being judged all the time in about every other part of our lives and on other social media platforms by your liberal friends. You are outnumbered here just like we are outnumbered about everywhere else. I have little sympathy for you.
Everyone runs a business differently, and I am thankful that I do not have to run an outfitting operation anywhere. They have my utmost respect. But the model Shockey describes is ripe for a disaster. I shook my head when I read the article, but what he described represents the business plan of probably 75% of the outfitters that I know. All of whom are in some degree of serious trouble now.

I spent most of my career in the military, but I also successfully ran a business unit for a major corporation for over a decade (a 24/7 experience with zero latitude for failure for any of you who have not had the opportunity). That experience gave me a pretty strong practical degree in business administration.

In my experience, most businesses, big or small, are run and balance sheets derived from either a profit or profit/investment model. In other words, profits generated by the business, represent the investment basis for future expenditures or new investment. Deposits are not profit. From a business perspective, they actually shouldn't represent real money. If a business is using that speculative income for current year operating expenses, then that business is well out over its skis and subject to collapse should that funding stream be suddenly cut off for whatever reason. Admittedly, the stream needs to turned on again quickly or the profit margin generated capital evaporates and whatever deposits are on hold will gradually have to be accessed. However, that is a very different model than basing this year's business expenses on a deposit stream for future hunts. I can't imagine trying to sleep with that sort of balance sheet. Yet, as I noted, most outfitters seem to do just that.

That sort of high risk operating expense model is exactly what I took away from Shockey's article. And as I noted, he is hardly alone.

I also would absolutely subscribe to the obvious fact that outfitters who depend upon international hunters are the most at risk as the pandemic has progressed, and even the best managed business can't survive indefinitely without customers.
I agree with about everything you said.

A significant portion of deposits paid in the same year of a hunt are used for getting ready for the hunt and for year-around expenses. In my case and I think in the case of most successful USA outfitters, deposits for hunts in future years are much smaller amounts (I asked for only $500 - $1000) and are not a significant part of our budgets. For me, these small deposits were just a way to figure out my long term schedule and weed out tire kickers.

Right now with Canadian outfitters, even these small deposits for future hunts have dried up, making the current problem all the worse.
 
Scott............what happened with your son's Yukon hunt? Can you afford to just let the deposit go? Hope things work out....................FWB
We were supposed to go August 2021 but most of the 2020 hunters want to go in 2021. I can’t go to the Yukon in August 2022 because I will be in Zambia so we are bumped back to August 2023. I told the outfitter that I will pay an extra surcharge to help him through COVID and increased costs even though he hadn’t asked me yet.
 
We were supposed to go August 2021 but most of the 2020 hunters want to go in 2021. I can’t go to the Yukon in August 2022 because I will be in Zambia so we are bumped back to August 2023. I told the outfitter that I will pay an extra surcharge to help him through COVID and increased costs even though he hadn’t asked me yet.
When we moved my hunt, I told him I would pay the 2023 price though it is about 4k more. I even offered to send more of a deposit, the outfitter said it wasn't necessary. I like to think most people are reasonable and are willing to work together. No one wants to see their outfitter go under and I realize that they are hurting. I can't imagine having no cash flow for a year.
 
When we moved my hunt, I told him I would pay the 2023 price though it is about 4k more. I even offered to send more of a deposit, the outfitter said it wasn't necessary. I like to think most people are reasonable and are willing to work together. No one wants to see their outfitter go under and I realize that they are hurting. I can't imagine having no cash flow for a year.
+1 on this. I don’t agree with Shockey’s thought that hunts may not be rolled at all. I think at the very least, both parties should agree to roll a large portion. Exactly how much to roll could vary depending on the particular outfitter’s situation.
 

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Grz63 wrote on Werty's profile.
(cont'd)
Rockies museum,
CM Russel museum and lewis and Clark interpretative center
Horseback riding in Summer star ranch
Charlo bison range and Garnet ghost town
Flathead lake, road to the sun and hiking in Glacier NP
and back to SLC (via Ogden and Logan)
Grz63 wrote on Werty's profile.
Good Morning,
I plan to visit MT next Sept.
May I ask you to give me your comments; do I forget something ? are my choices worthy ? Thank you in advance
Philippe (France)

Start in Billings, Then visit little big horn battlefield,
MT grizzly encounter,
a hot springs (do you have good spots ?)
Looking to buy a 375 H&H or .416 Rem Mag if anyone has anything they want to let go of
 
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