COVID Cases in Zimbabwe - Check My Math

[Doug3006]

There's a lot of chatter in the press about the COVID surge in Zimbabwe. This is scary because I'm planning to go there in late August. Not scary because I fear getting it...I'm vaccinated. Scary because Zim or the airlines (or both) might pause tourism...again.

So I checked the 7-day new case rate in Zim and divided it by their population . 418 avg cases per week / 15.1M = .00003

Then I checked the 7-day new case rate in St. Louis County where I live and divided it by the population. 56 avg cases per week / 979,500 = .00006

So over the last week, the infection rate in STLCO is TWICE the rate in Zimbabwe.

If my math is right...why the concern in Zim. I can tell you that the mood in St. Louis County is quite good. The fear is largely over and things are getting back to normal. Certainly no curfews, lock downs or business closures. Is the COVID situation in Zim highly localized?

 

[BRICKBURN]

Add some other risk factors to your calculations:
Vaccinations rate in Zim?
Hospital beds available?
Have they Paid their Docs in the last year yet?

 

[Mort Hill]

Just returned from Zim. Not sure who pumping up the hype but frankly other than in the major cities, read Harare and Bulwayo, it is non-existent. Once I left the airport it was mask off until I returned, except for being at a public shopping center just to walk to the restaurant. Even the folks screening at the airport told me that cases of Covid were extremely low, but they were just trying to keep it that way. I would not get too worked up. Airlines still need business to rebound from 2020, so my thought is the farther away from 2020, the more options you will have.

 

[Tanks]

According to CDC site Zim is still considered low.

 

[375Fox]

There is no such thing as covid math. You unfortunately always just have to hope for the best.

 

[Doug3006]

Add some other risk factors to your calculations:
Vaccinations rate in Zim?
Hospital beds available?
Have they Paid their Docs in the last year yet?

No doubt it’s riskier for Zimbabweans due to the factors you list.....and many more. For a traveling tourist who has been vaccinated, there’s not a lot of risk. Shutting your country off from badly needed tourist revenue doesn‘t make sense to me. Hopefully it won’t happen.

 

[Red Leg]

No doubt it’s riskier for Zimbabweans due to the factors you list.....and many more. For a traveling tourist who has been vaccinated, there’s not a lot of risk. Shutting your country off from badly needed tourist revenue doesn‘t make sense to me. Hopefully it won’t happen.

Like Canada? Insanity runs as rampant in the first world as the third.

 

[Doug3006]

Like Canada? Insanity runs as rampant in the first world as the third.

Precisely!